← GA Middle East Weekly PTM #5
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at GA Middle East Weekly PTM #5
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.1%
avg ELO -1.0 per match
expected value
45.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1332
· median 1332
· range 1313–1352
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1093
Q1 1265
Q3 1347
1490
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 16.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane Rai | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Fire Oblation | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Wind Alice | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Wind Ciel | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
