GA Middle East Weekly PTM #5

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	16.7%	2-4-0	33.3%	48.1%	45.3%	49.2%	1332	—
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	16.7%	2-0-1	83.3%	50.8%	56.7%	50.4%	1407	↑ top
3		Fire Arcane Rai	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-3-0	0.0%	49.2%	35.6%	49.5%	1093	↓ low
4		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	1	8.3%	1-2-0	33.3%	49.6%	50.0%	50.2%	1231	↓ low
5		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	1	8.3%	2-1-0	66.7%	50.6%	53.3%	50.3%	1222	↓ low
6		Fire Suited	Tier 2	1	8.3%	1-2-0	33.3%	50.1%	45.0%	50.0%	1302	—
7		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 1	1	8.3%	2-0-1	83.3%	51.6%	56.0%	50.7%	1425	↑ top
8		Wind Alice	Tier 1	1	8.3%	3-0-0	100.0%	51.5%	60.0%	50.7%	1313	—
9		Wind Ciel	Tier 1	1	8.3%	2-1-0	66.7%	50.8%	55.0%	50.6%	1276	—
10		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	8.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	48.2%	40.0%	48.9%	1346	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 16.7%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 16.7%
• Fire Arcane Rai 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Oblation 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 8.3%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Alice 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Ciel 1 deck · 8.3%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 8.3%