← Solar Quester Grand Archive PTM Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Solar Quester Grand Archive PTM Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 100.0% | 63.9% | 60.0% | 55.6% | 1509 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Wind Umbra Diana | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 59.8% | 56.0% | 55.4% | 1314 | — |
| 3 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 55.8% | 56.0% | 53.0% | 1412 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Tera Tamer | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 60.6% | 55.0% | 54.2% | 1278 | — |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 15.4% | 6 | 58.3% | 48.1% | 51.7% | 49.4% | 1334 | — |
| 6 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 58.9% | 50.0% | 53.6% | 1192 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 46.0% | 50.0% | 48.4% | 1424 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 37.5% | 44.2% | 48.0% | 48.2% | 1337 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Suited | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 46.2% | 45.0% | 47.5% | 1245 | — |
| 10 | Fire Exia | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 37.2% | 40.0% | 43.8% | 1164 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Fire Umbra Ranger | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 36.4% | 40.0% | 44.6% | 1046 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 38.1% | 40.0% | 44.5% | 1063 | ↓ low |