Phantom Monarch Regional

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	3	21.4%	2-5-2	33.3%	47.0%	45.1%	48.6%	1203	↓ low
2		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	14.3%	6-2-4	66.7%	60.3%	57.5%	55.1%	1332	↑ top
3		Fire Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	7.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	41.8%	46.7%	44.5%	1311	↑ top
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	7.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	32.4%	43.3%	40.8%	1207	↓ low
5		Fire Suited	Tier 1	1	7.1%	2-2-0	50.0%	52.4%	50.0%	50.9%	1189	↓ low
6		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	7.1%	0-4-0	0.0%	34.0%	40.0%	43.6%	1127	↓ low
7		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	7.1%	3-2-1	58.3%	50.3%	52.1%	50.7%	1378	↑ top
8		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	7.1%	4-2-0	66.7%	53.5%	55.7%	52.3%	1340	↑ top
9		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 1	1	7.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	55.2%	51.0%	52.9%	1165	↓ low
10		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	7.1%	5-0-2	85.7%	65.6%	61.0%	57.6%	1405	↑ top
11		Wind Lorraine	Tier 2	1	7.1%	1-3-0	25.0%	42.5%	45.0%	47.0%	1153	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Seiryuu 3 decks · 21.4%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Aetherwing 1 deck · 7.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 1 deck · 7.1%
• Fire Suited 1 deck · 7.1%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 7.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 7.1%
• Wind Lorraine 1 deck · 7.1%