← Phantom Monarchs – Store Championship
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Phantom Monarchs – Store Championship
decks
2
(16.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-2-1
overall winrate
64.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.0%
avg ELO +7.0 per match
expected value
52.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1293
· median 1293
· range 1150–1436
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1150
Q1 1314
Q3 1438
1493
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.7% | +4.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.2 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.2% | +19.5 |
| Water Allies | 8.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.9% | -3.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Dawn of Ashes | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.5 |
| Water Fractal | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.0% | +9.5 |
| Wind Allies | 8.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
