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Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at Phantom Monarchs Store Champs
decks
1
(5.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-3-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
35.7%
avg ELO -8.2 per match
expected value
45.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
44.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1262
· median 1262
· range 1262–1262
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1114
Q1 1214
Q3 1436
1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.6 |
| Water Fractal | 11.8% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 31.6% | -17.7 |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.2% | +8.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.6% | -5.4 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
