← Set Championship - Phantom Monarchs GK RWC

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Set Championship - Phantom Monarchs GK RWC. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Shadowstrike 2 7.1% 10 80.0% 60.7% 57.2% 53.5% 1446 ↑ top
2 Water Genbu 2 7.1% 10 80.0% 59.9% 56.4% 52.9% 1524 ↑ top
3 Fire Crux Mage 1 3.6% 5 70.0% 68.6% 55.7% 60.0% 1347
4 Water Fractal 1 3.6% 5 60.0% 57.0% 55.0% 54.8% 1368
5 Wind Tera Silvie 1 3.6% 5 70.0% 50.3% 53.9% 50.0% 1678 ↑ top
6 Water Aetherwing 2 7.1% 8 75.0% 67.4% 53.3% 54.8% 1440 ↑ top
7 Wind Alice 1 3.6% 5 50.0% 50.4% 52.9% 52.3% 1484 ↑ top
8 Water Crux Merlin 1 3.6% 5 60.0% 65.9% 52.2% 56.7% 1257 ↓ low
9 Fire Wakeup Combo 1 3.6% 5 60.0% 66.0% 51.1% 54.3% 1263 ↓ low
10 Water Luxem Assassin 1 3.6% 5 60.0% 45.9% 50.0% 47.8% 1616 ↑ top
11 Fire Umbra Guardian 3 10.7% 13 46.2% 38.5% 49.7% 46.8% 1408
12 Fire Oblation 1 3.6% 5 50.0% 52.1% 47.8% 49.9% 1445 ↑ top
13 Water Tera Mage 1 3.6% 5 30.0% 28.8% 46.7% 43.5% 1423 ↑ top
14 Water Tera Cleric 1 3.6% 5 40.0% 52.7% 45.7% 49.4% 1079 ↓ low
15 Wind Wakeup Combo 1 3.6% 5 40.0% 41.8% 45.7% 45.1% 1317
16 Fire Umbra Diana 1 3.6% 3 33.3% 47.1% 45.0% 47.7% 1275 ↓ low
17 Wind Umbra Ranger 1 3.6% 5 40.0% 50.1% 45.0% 47.8% 1192 ↓ low
18 Fire Exia 2 7.1% 9 27.8% 40.7% 43.5% 47.0% 1227 ↓ low
19 Wind Seiryuu 1 3.6% 5 20.0% 33.9% 42.2% 42.5% 1148 ↓ low
20 Water Allies 1 3.6% 1 0.0% 40.4% 40.0% 40.4% 1201 ↓ low
21 Wind Exia 1 3.6% 5 0.0% 30.5% 40.0% 43.5% 1008 ↓ low
22 Wind Razorgale 1 3.6% 4 0.0% 42.6% 36.7% 46.6% 1042 ↓ low