← TinyRobot Grand Mythic Champion PTM
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at TinyRobot Grand Mythic Champion PTM.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 7.7% | 6 | 66.7% | 67.2% | 59.0% | 62.1% | 1201 | — |
| 2 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 70.0% | 66.3% | 56.7% | 58.5% | 1163 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 7.7% | 5 | 80.0% | 56.5% | 52.5% | 48.7% | 1367 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Allies | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 33.2% | 52.0% | 46.8% | 1303 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 15.4% | 5 | 50.0% | 44.1% | 50.0% | 46.0% | 1245 | — |
| 6 | Wind Seiryuu | 2 | 15.4% | 8 | 43.8% | 47.5% | 48.6% | 49.9% | 1241 | — |
| 7 | Water Fractal | 3 | 23.1% | 11 | 36.4% | 44.6% | 47.3% | 49.5% | 1142 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 7.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 45.2% | 46.0% | 47.4% | 1152 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 7.7% | 4 | 37.5% | 42.2% | 45.7% | 44.3% | 1253 | ↑ top |