Fire SuzakuTier 1
at PTM Store Championship
decks
3
(15.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-7-0
overall winrate
53.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
52.7%
avg ELO +1.1 per match
expected value
52.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1266
· median 1280
· range 1063–1457
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1031
Q1 1106
Q3 1322
1516
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 15.8% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 66.1% | +10.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.4% | +1.4 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.3% | +2.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.9% | -19.3 |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.2% | -4.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.4% | +4.3 |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
