← Store Championship Postboardgaming Lexington
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Store Championship Postboardgaming Lexington
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-5-1
overall winrate
38.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.9%
avg ELO -4.2 per match
expected value
46.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1191
· median 1191
· range 1168–1214
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1045
Q1 1145
Q3 1261
1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.3 |
| Fire Oblation | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.8% | -15.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.8% | -16.4 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.2% | +14.8 |
| Water Fractal | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.3 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.5% | +8.9 |
