← Store Championship Postboardgaming Lexington
Fire SuzakuTier 1
at Store Championship Postboardgaming Lexington
decks
2
(10.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
4-3-0
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.1%
avg ELO +7.1 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1132
· median 1132
· range 1089–1175
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1045
Q1 1145
Q3 1261
1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 15.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.9% | +17.4 |
| Fire Oblation | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.3% | +4.2 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.7% | +13.9 |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.0 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
