← IWTS Phantom Monarch Store Championships
Fire ExiaTier 1
at IWTS Phantom Monarch Store Championships
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-1-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.4%
avg ELO +3.5 per match
expected value
54.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1216
· median 1216
· range 1216–1216
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1120
Q1 1166
Q3 1225
1333
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 20.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.6% | -13.5 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.4 |
| Water Crux Merlin | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
