IWTS Phantom Monarch Store Championships

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	2	20.0%	2-4-2	37.5%	43.2%	47.4%	47.9%	1189	—
2		Fire Exia	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-1-1	62.5%	55.4%	54.0%	53.4%	1216	—
3		Fire Firebloom Burn	Tier 1	1	10.0%	2-2-0	50.0%	50.7%	52.0%	52.1%	1202	—
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	1	10.0%	4-0-0	100.0%	71.2%	60.0%	58.5%	1333	↑ top
5		Fire Seiryuu	Tier 1	1	10.0%	1-0-3	62.5%	56.3%	52.0%	52.1%	1176	↓ low
6		Water Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-4-0	0.0%	26.9%	40.0%	40.6%	1120	↓ low
7		Water Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	10.0%	3-1-0	75.0%	61.2%	56.0%	55.3%	1240	↑ top
8		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	1	10.0%	1-1-2	50.0%	49.6%	51.7%	51.2%	1225	—
9		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	10.0%	0-2-2	25.0%	38.9%	44.0%	44.7%	1163	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 20.0%
• Fire Exia 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Firebloom Burn 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 10.0%
• Fire Seiryuu 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Crux Merlin 1 deck · 10.0%
• Water Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 10.0%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 10.0%