← PTM Everything Games Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at PTM Everything Games Store Championship . EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Wind Seiryuu 1 9.1% 6 83.3% 57.1% 58.0% 52.9% 1392 ↑ top
2 Horse and Taxes 1 9.1% 5 70.0% 66.2% 54.6% 56.7% 1276 ↑ top
3 Water Luxem Assassin 1 9.1% 6 66.7% 49.4% 54.3% 50.2% 1330 ↑ top
4 Water Fractal 1 9.1% 5 60.0% 50.5% 52.5% 50.1% 1314 ↑ top
5 Water Aetherwing 1 9.1% 4 62.5% 56.2% 52.5% 52.5% 1194
6 Water Diana 1 9.1% 5 60.0% 62.6% 52.0% 54.5% 1128 ↓ low
7 Fire Suzaku 1 9.1% 4 50.0% 52.3% 50.0% 50.9% 1205
8 Water Allies 1 9.1% 3 33.3% 45.7% 46.7% 48.0% 1127 ↓ low
9 Water Umbra Guardian 1 9.1% 3 33.3% 45.7% 46.7% 48.0% 1127 ↓ low
10 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 9.1% 5 20.0% 38.0% 44.0% 45.7% 1100 ↓ low
11 Water Genbu 1 9.1% 3 0.0% 32.8% 40.0% 42.0% 1123 ↓ low
12 Wind Shadowstrike 1 9.1% 3 0.0% 34.5% 40.0% 42.8% 1113 ↓ low