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Water Tera MageTier 2
at The Trading Gallery PTM Store Championships
decks
1
(7.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-2-2
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.0%
avg ELO -2.9 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1270
· median 1270
· range 1270–1270
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1290
Q3 1414
1548
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 15.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 7.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Exia | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.2 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.0 |
| Water Genbu | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.8% | +9.3 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
