RHS PTM Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 2	2	25.0%	2-4-0	33.3%	46.9%	45.3%	48.2%	1192	↓ low
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-2-0	33.3%	47.6%	50.0%	51.1%	1198	↓ low
3		Fire Arcane Rai	Tier 2	1	12.5%	0-3-0	0.0%	34.6%	35.6%	39.2%	1132	↓ low
4		Fire Suzaku	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-1-1	62.5%	56.1%	53.9%	53.4%	1315	—
5		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	1	12.5%	1-1-1	50.0%	47.0%	52.5%	49.9%	1350	↑ top
6		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	1	12.5%	3-0-1	87.5%	60.4%	59.6%	55.3%	1499	↑ top
7		Water Crux Assassin	Tier 1	1	12.5%	2-0-1	83.3%	56.6%	57.5%	53.7%	1446	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 2 decks · 25.0%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Arcane Rai 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 12.5%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 12.5%
• Water Crux Assassin 1 deck · 12.5%