← Zulu's Lynnwood PTM Store Championship

Fire Tera MageTier 2

at Zulu's Lynnwood PTM Store Championship

decks
1 (4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.8% avg ELO +0.5 per match
expected value
45.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1195 · median 1195 · range 1195–1195 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1102 Q1 1175 Q3 1366 1471
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Arcane 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.3% -15.6
Fire Crux Mage 9.1% 0
Horse and Taxes 9.1% 0
Water Aetherwing 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.9% -8.2
Water Genbu 9.1% 0
Wind Seiryuu 9.1% 0
Fire Aggro 4.5% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 4.5% 0
Fire Umbra Guardian 4.5% 0
Water Allies 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 43.8% -10.0
Water Astra Ranger 4.5% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 4.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.4% +19.8
Wind Allies 4.5% 0
Wind Astra Cleric 4.5% 0
Wind Silvie 4.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.1% +16.2
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Tera Mage decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/44652/archetypes/Fire Tera Mage