← Zulu's Lynnwood PTM Store Championship
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Zulu's Lynnwood PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
7-4-1
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.5%
avg ELO +4.5 per match
expected value
53.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
54.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1333
· median 1333
· range 1235–1431
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1102
Q1 1175
Q3 1366
1471
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arcane | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.9% | +20.6 |
| Horse and Taxes | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.3% | +18.1 |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.3 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.3% | +6.8 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Allies | 4.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.3% | -13.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
