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SlimesTier 2
at Hobby Maker Store Championship！
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 14.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.1% | -8.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 14.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.0% | +14.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.8% | -5.1 |
| Water Fractal | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.7 |
| Water Genbu | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -9.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -9.0 |
| Wind Allies | 7.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.8% | -13.6 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 45 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 45 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Verdant Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ethereal Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Forest Cake | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Idle Thoughts | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Beastbond Boots | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Gather Slimes | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lost Providence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prismspire Scepter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Verdant Scepter | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Baby Green Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Invective Instruction | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rescue the Heir | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mirrorbound Covenant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spellward Scepter | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Annul Spell | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dungeon Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Undeniable Truth | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Young Beastbonder | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stonescale Band | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wrathful Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Nexus | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |