Hobby Maker Store Championship！

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Slimes	Tier 2	3	21.4%	2-10-0	16.7%	37.1%	40.6%	45.1%	1119	↓ low
2		Fire Umbra Guardian	Tier 1	2	14.3%	5-4-3	54.2%	51.5%	54.0%	52.4%	1257	—
3		Water Aetherwing	Tier 1	2	14.3%	5-3-0	62.5%	50.2%	54.0%	50.8%	1300	↑ top
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	1	7.1%	0-5-0	0.0%	28.7%	35.2%	38.5%	1101	↓ low
5		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	7.1%	4-2-0	66.7%	47.2%	55.6%	50.7%	1425	↑ top
6		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	7.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	51.1%	55.0%	52.7%	1333	↑ top
7		Water Genbu	Tier 1	1	7.1%	2-1-2	60.0%	51.7%	55.2%	52.8%	1285	↑ top
8		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	1	7.1%	2-1-2	60.0%	51.7%	55.2%	52.8%	1285	↑ top
9		Wind Allies	Tier 1	1	7.1%	4-0-1	90.0%	73.0%	61.4%	61.4%	1214	—
10		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	1	7.1%	2-2-1	50.0%	51.7%	51.1%	51.1%	1232	—
11		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	1	7.1%	2-1-3	58.3%	63.5%	50.0%	53.0%	1210	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Slimes 3 decks · 21.4%
• Fire Umbra Guardian 2 decks · 14.3%
• Water Aetherwing 2 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Aggro 1 deck · 7.1%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 7.1%
• Water Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 7.1%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 7.1%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 7.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 1 deck · 7.1%