← 元氣滿屋 PTM GA 店冠賽

Wind Wakeup ComboTier 1

at 元氣滿屋 PTM GA 店冠賽

decks
2 (13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8 6-2-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1% avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
59.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.1% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1567 · median 1567 · range 1543–1591 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1068 Q1 1233 Q3 1448 1618
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom. This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 13.3% 0
Wind Arcane 13.3% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 55.6% +5.4
Wind Shadowstrike 13.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.3% +2.0
Fire Aetherwing 6.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 47.8% -2.1
Fire Crux Lorraine 6.7% 0
Water Fractal 6.7% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 6.7% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 6.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 44.5% -5.2
Wind Seiryuu 6.7% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.5% +2.4
Wind Umbra Ranger 6.7% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 22 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 22 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Concealed Marksman +1.00 1 0 0
Water Resonance Bauble +1.00 1 0 0
Liu Bei, Oathkeeper +1.00 1 0 0
Draught of Stamina -1.00 0 1 0
Charge the Soul -1.00 0 1 0
Coronation Ceremony +1.00 1 0 0
Tristan, Underhanded +1.00 1 0 0
Prismspire Scepter -1.00 0 1 0
Squallsnare +1.00 1 0 0
Steady Sharpshooter -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Crystallized Destiny +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers +1.00 1 0 0
Dodge Roll -1.00 0 1 0
Incapacitate +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring +1.00 1 0 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence -1.00 0 1 0
Censer of Restful Peace +1.00 1 0 0
Invective Instruction -1.00 0 1 0
Portentous Tanggu -1.00 0 1 0
Topsy Decree -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/45061/archetypes/Wind Wakeup Combo