← CardLab PTM GA Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at CardLab PTM GA Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 4.2% | 8 | 68.8% | 61.8% | 57.9% | 57.5% | 1386 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Aetherwing | 3 | 12.5% | 15 | 70.0% | 67.5% | 57.2% | 58.4% | 1339 | — |
| 3 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 3 | 12.5% | 17 | 61.8% | 60.8% | 56.4% | 57.4% | 1347 | — |
| 4 | Wind Seiryuu | 5 | 20.8% | 19 | 57.9% | 59.8% | 51.0% | 51.9% | 1279 | — |
| 5 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 58.3% | 41.6% | 50.1% | 44.7% | 1516 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 4.2% | 6 | 66.7% | 62.3% | 46.7% | 47.2% | 1124 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Water Fractal | 4 | 16.7% | 17 | 44.1% | 39.1% | 46.1% | 43.4% | 1360 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Water Wind Vanitas | 1 | 4.2% | 5 | 30.0% | 36.4% | 45.0% | 44.4% | 1223 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 4.2% | 4 | 25.0% | 39.4% | 41.8% | 44.7% | 1312 | — |
| 10 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.2% | 3 | 16.7% | 32.2% | 41.0% | 38.5% | 1340 | — |
| 11 | Water Allies | 1 | 4.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.7% | 40.0% | 43.1% | 1308 | — |
| 12 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 4.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 40.1% | 40.0% | 46.6% | 1064 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 4.2% | 3 | 0.0% | 33.7% | 40.0% | 43.1% | 1308 | — |
| 14 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.2% | 3 | 16.7% | 34.5% | 35.7% | 34.5% | 1305 | — |