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Water Ravishing MillTier 2
at The Game Center Narellan - PTM Store Champs
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-3-0
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.5%
avg ELO +3.7 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1187
· median 1187
· range 1187–1187
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1185
Q3 1439
1702
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.4% | -1.0 |
| Arcane | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Water Allies | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
