← Card Merchant Hamilton Phantom Monarchs Store Championships
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Card Merchant Hamilton Phantom Monarchs Store Championships.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Suzaku | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 75.0% | 55.9% | 56.0% | 52.9% | 1395 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 3 | 20.0% | 14 | 67.9% | 62.9% | 55.4% | 54.9% | 1322 | — |
| 3 | Water Allies | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 45.6% | 53.3% | 50.3% | 1275 | — |
| 4 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 43.9% | 52.0% | 50.9% | 1321 | — |
| 5 | Water Astra Ranger | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 59.5% | 50.0% | 53.8% | 1198 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Water Fractal | 1 | 6.7% | 6 | 50.0% | 46.5% | 48.1% | 46.8% | 1349 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 2 | 13.3% | 9 | 50.0% | 55.8% | 47.2% | 50.6% | 1210 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Suited | 1 | 6.7% | 2 | 25.0% | 35.9% | 45.0% | 41.5% | 1474 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 37.5% | 35.8% | 44.3% | 41.3% | 1339 | — |
| 10 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 55.2% | 44.0% | 50.7% | 1180 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 6.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 43.5% | 44.0% | 41.4% | 1427 | ↑ top |
| 12 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 6.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 35.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | 1100 | ↓ low |