新奇玩具 店冠賽

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	3	27.3%	6-3-1	65.0%	57.7%	53.8%	53.3%	1378	↑ top
2		Fire Oblation	Tier 1	2	18.2%	7-2-1	75.0%	54.3%	56.3%	50.2%	1465	↑ top
3		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	39.8%	36.0%	43.2%	1126	↓ low
4		Water Aetherwing	Tier 2	1	9.1%	0-3-0	0.0%	35.4%	40.0%	43.6%	1102	↓ low
5		Water Fractal	Tier 1	1	9.1%	3-2-0	60.0%	54.1%	54.3%	53.2%	1410	↑ top
6		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-0	33.3%	51.8%	42.2%	49.5%	1151	↓ low
7		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-1	37.5%	45.4%	44.3%	45.9%	1247	↓ low
8		Wind Seiryuu	Tier 2	1	9.1%	1-2-1	37.5%	49.2%	48.0%	50.9%	1261	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 3 decks · 27.3%
• Fire Oblation 2 decks · 18.2%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Aetherwing 1 deck · 9.1%
• Water Fractal 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 9.1%
• Wind Seiryuu 1 deck · 9.1%