Fire SuzakuTier 1
at PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
5-2-2
overall winrate
66.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
60.6%
avg ELO +4.9 per match
expected value
51.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1364
· median 1364
· range 1299–1429
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1126
Q1 1249
Q3 1411
1607
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 15.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 15.0% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 41.5% | -8.2 |
| Water Aetherwing | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.9 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Fire Suited | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.7% | +10.7 |
| Slimes | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.1 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 5.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 62.5% | +12.0 |
