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Water Ravishing MillTier 1
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decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
2-1-2
overall winrate
60.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.7%
avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1379
· median 1379
· range 1379–1379
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1128
Q1 1166
Q3 1343
1425
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.6% | -7.0 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -6.5 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 37.7% | -19.6 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.7 |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Ravishing Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
