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Wind SeiryuuTier 2
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decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
3-5-2
overall winrate
40.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.8%
avg ELO -3.7 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1249
· median 1249
· range 1128–1369
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1128
Q1 1166
Q3 1343
1425
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.5% | -13.6 |
| Slimes | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -3.8 |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Fire Exia | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Horse and Taxes | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.2% | +3.5 |
| Water Crux Assassin | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Water Fractal | 5.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -2.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
