Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Cardart PTM Store Champs
decks
3
(12.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
5-6-3
overall winrate
46.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
44.9%
avg ELO -2.1 per match
expected value
47.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1387
· median 1364
· range 1148–1648
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1079
Q1 1257
Q3 1474
1678
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Genbu | 12.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.5% | -3.9 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.6 |
| Water Fractal | 8.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 8.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.3 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.7% | -11.6 |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 4.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Water Diana | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Water Tera Cleric | 4.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.8% | -5.0 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 4.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
