← Scry Games PTM Store Championship
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Scry Games PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(4.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
8-3-1
overall winrate
70.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
62.2%
avg ELO +5.2 per match
expected value
57.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
56.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1358
· median 1358
· range 1267–1449
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
936
Q1 1142
Q3 1341
1668
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 11.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 66.5% | +12.3 |
| Water Fractal | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 49.2% | -0.6 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
| Fire Suited | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Zander | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.7% | +12.3 |
| Wind Byakko | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.2% | -15.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.7% | +9.0 |
