← TripleTactics TCG PTM Store Championship
Fire Crux LorraineTier 2
at TripleTactics TCG PTM Store Championship
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.1%
avg ELO -5.3 per match
expected value
46.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1259
· median 1259
· range 1162–1356
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1067
Q1 1206
Q3 1393
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.9% | -12.6 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
