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Wind SeiryuuTier 2

at TripleTactics TCG PTM Store Championship

decks
2 (9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9 2-5-2
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.2% avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
46.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1227 · median 1227 · range 1091–1364 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1067 Q1 1206 Q3 1393 1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Crux Mage 13.6% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 41.1% -14.2
Wind Shadowstrike 13.6% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 9.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 57.6% +12.1
Fire Umbra Guardian 9.1% 0
Water Aetherwing 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.4% -7.4
Fire Suited 4.5% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 53.4% +5.5
Water Fractal 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.5% -12.0
Water Genbu 4.5% 0
Wind Exia 4.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.2% +13.0
Wind Luxem Assassin 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 47.7% -3.7
Wind Razorgale 4.5% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 53.9% +6.3
Wind Tera Mage 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.9% -11.4
Wind Umbra Diana 4.5% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Resolute Stand -1.00 0 1 0
Royal Oathguard -1.00 0 1 0
Displace +1.00 1 0 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Forest Cake -1.00 0 1 0
Yuan Shao, Crown General +1.00 1 0 0
Winds of Destiny -1.00 0 1 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes +1.00 1 0 0
Lost Providence -1.00 0 1 0
Unmake Duality +1.00 1 0 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Fairy Whispers -1.00 0 1 0
The Looking Glass +1.00 1 0 0
Spellward Scepter -1.00 0 1 0
Escape the Wreckage +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Regal Inquisition +1.00 1 0 0
Ducal Seal -1.00 0 1 0
Seiryuu's Command -1.00 0 1 0
Topsy Decree +1.00 1 0 0
Beseeched Fatestone -1.00 0 1 0
Reclaim +1.00 1 0 0
Longtail Grovesward +1.00 1 0 0
Stolen Chance -1.00 0 1 0
Sunblessed Gazelle -1.00 0 1 0
Blanche, Sheltering Saint -1.00 0 1 0
Harness Lightning -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern +1.00 1 0 0
Trained Hawk -1.00 0 1 0
Baby Green Slime +1.00 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +1.00 1 0 0
Byakko's Command -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/46298/archetypes/Wind Seiryuu