← TripleTactics TCG PTM Store Championship
Water FractalTier 1
at TripleTactics TCG PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(4.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
7-1-0
overall winrate
87.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
76.4%
avg ELO +12.7 per match
expected value
59.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
59.7%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1460
· median 1460
· range 1460–1460
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1067
Q1 1206
Q3 1393
1633
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 13.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.0% | +14.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 13.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 72.6% | +21.7 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Fire Suited | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.6% | +13.7 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Fractal decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
