← Ethereal Sanctum PTM Store Championship
Fire AetherwingTier 2
at Ethereal Sanctum PTM Store Championship
decks
1
(5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-4-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
39.3%
avg ELO -6.9 per match
expected value
40.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1094
· median 1094
· range 1094–1094
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1094
Q1 1255
Q3 1422
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 15.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 10.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.3% | -2.7 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -8.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -9.9 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Aetherwing decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
