← Wilczek - Store Championships - PTM - 01/03/2026
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Wilczek - Store Championships - PTM - 01/03/2026
decks
1
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
7-1-1
overall winrate
83.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.8%
avg ELO +0.8 per match
expected value
57.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1510
· median 1510
· range 1510–1510
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1146
Q3 1359
1510
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 8.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.3% | +3.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 8.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 8.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 54.6% | +4.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 4.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.1% | -22.3 |
| Fire Tera Kongming | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Horse and Taxes | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.9% | +6.3 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Water Tera Kongming | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Shadowstrike decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
