← Saturday Phantom Monarchs Store Champs
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Saturday Phantom Monarchs Store Champs.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 9.1% | 6 | 91.7% | 66.0% | 62.0% | 57.5% | 1405 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 9.1% | 5 | 70.0% | 66.3% | 56.1% | 58.7% | 1298 | — |
| 3 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 9.1% | 5 | 60.0% | 50.0% | 53.3% | 50.7% | 1404 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 18.2% | 8 | 50.0% | 50.2% | 51.2% | 51.2% | 1374 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Razorgale | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 42.0% | 50.0% | 46.8% | 1381 | ↑ top |
| 6 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 43.1% | 48.0% | 45.8% | 1368 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 50.0% | 47.6% | 48.0% | 47.2% | 1317 | — |
| 8 | Slimes | 1 | 9.1% | 4 | 25.0% | 50.5% | 44.0% | 49.2% | 1029 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 40.4% | 40.0% | 45.5% | 1173 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Water Slimes | 1 | 9.1% | 3 | 0.0% | 34.7% | 40.0% | 42.8% | 1151 | ↓ low |