← Yeti Gaming In-Person Regional 4/6/2024
Fire Crux MageTier 2
at Yeti Gaming In-Person Regional 4/6/2024
decks
3
(14.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
12
5-7-0
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.0%
avg ELO -1.3 per match
expected value
44.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1249
· median 1213
· range 1087–1447
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1127
Q3 1447
1637
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 19.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 39.7% | -6.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 9.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.6% | -12.9 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 61.2% | +8.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.8% | +12.5 |
| Wind Vanitas | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
