← Yeti Gaming In-Person Regional 4/6/2024
Fire EruptingTier 1
at Yeti Gaming In-Person Regional 4/6/2024
decks
2
(9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
5-3-0
overall winrate
62.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
54.4%
avg ELO +2.1 per match
expected value
53.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
52.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1281
· median 1281
· range 1213–1350
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1127
Q3 1447
1637
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 19.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.2 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 14.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.4% | +12.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.2% | -18.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.3% | +16.4 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.5% | +12.0 |
| Wind Beast | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Erupting decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
