← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 3/12/2026

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 3/12/2026. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Water Byakko 1 2.5% 4 100.0% 51.8% 60.0% 50.6% 1444 ↑ top
2 Water Crux Mage 1 2.5% 4 100.0% 51.8% 60.0% 50.6% 1444 ↑ top
3 Water Genbu 1 2.5% 4 87.5% 51.7% 57.5% 50.7% 1415 ↑ top
4 Fire Crux Merlin 1 2.5% 4 62.5% 49.8% 56.7% 50.3% 1323
5 Fire Umbra Guardian 1 2.5% 5 60.0% 50.8% 56.7% 50.6% 1408 ↑ top
6 Water Aetherwing 6 15.0% 18 66.7% 50.9% 55.5% 50.5% 1353
7 Water Luxem Assassin 1 2.5% 4 62.5% 50.7% 55.0% 50.5% 1388 ↑ top
8 Water Astra Ranger 1 2.5% 3 66.7% 51.2% 53.3% 50.6% 1267
9 Wind Crux Merlin 1 2.5% 3 33.3% 49.2% 53.3% 50.3% 1171 ↓ low
10 Wind Luxem Zander 1 2.5% 4 75.0% 51.3% 52.2% 50.2% 1517 ↑ top
11 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 2.5% 5 60.0% 48.7% 52.0% 49.5% 1420 ↑ top
12 Fire Aggro 1 2.5% 4 50.0% 49.5% 50.0% 49.8% 1415 ↑ top
13 Wind Seiryuu 1 2.5% 4 50.0% 49.9% 48.3% 49.8% 1418 ↑ top
14 Water Umbra Guardian 1 2.5% 3 33.3% 51.0% 48.0% 50.9% 1029 ↓ low
15 Wind Crux Lorraine 1 2.5% 4 75.0% 51.3% 46.7% 50.2% 1170 ↓ low
16 Fire Oblation 1 2.5% 3 33.3% 49.2% 46.7% 49.6% 1265
17 Water Fractal 2 5.0% 6 41.7% 50.0% 46.5% 50.0% 1219 ↓ low
18 Fire Umbra Ranger 1 2.5% 4 25.0% 49.7% 45.7% 50.2% 1215 ↓ low
19 Fire Crux Lorraine 1 2.5% 3 16.7% 49.5% 45.0% 49.8% 1276
20 Wind Neos 1 2.5% 3 16.7% 49.2% 45.0% 49.8% 1105 ↓ low
21 Wind Umbra Ciel 1 2.5% 2 25.0% 50.0% 45.0% 50.0% 1250 ↓ low
22 Horse and Taxes 1 2.5% 4 50.0% 50.2% 44.4% 50.0% 1362 ↑ top
23 Fire Slimes 1 2.5% 5 40.0% 49.4% 44.0% 49.4% 1279
24 Water Ravishing Mill 1 2.5% 2 50.0% 50.0% 42.9% 49.3% 1215 ↓ low
25 Wind Shadowstrike 4 10.0% 11 31.8% 47.8% 42.7% 48.9% 1378 ↑ top
26 Wind Arcane 1 2.5% 3 16.7% 48.7% 42.5% 49.2% 1223 ↓ low
27 Fire Tera Diao Chan 1 2.5% 3 33.3% 49.5% 42.5% 49.2% 1328
28 Fire Firebloom Burn 1 2.5% 4 25.0% 49.5% 42.2% 49.7% 1161 ↓ low
29 Water Tera Mage 2 5.0% 7 35.7% 49.8% 40.9% 49.5% 1264
30 Fire Arcane 1 2.5% 2 0.0% 48.8% 40.0% 49.3% 1143 ↓ low
31 Fire Crux Mage 1 2.5% 1 0.0% 48.7% 40.0% 48.7% 1432 ↑ top