← [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 3/19/2026
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at [TCG] Grand Archive Online League NA Weekly 3/19/2026.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 2 | 8.7% | 6 | 100.0% | 50.8% | 60.0% | 50.3% | 1417 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 4.3% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.4% | 55.0% | 50.1% | 1560 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Genbu | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 75.0% | 50.4% | 55.0% | 50.2% | 1279 | — |
| 4 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 8.7% | 8 | 75.0% | 51.9% | 53.3% | 50.4% | 1181 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 51.1% | 50.0% | 50.4% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Wind Byakko | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 62.5% | 51.0% | 50.0% | 50.3% | 1276 | — |
| 7 | Water Astra Ranger | 2 | 8.7% | 5 | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.6% | 50.2% | 1245 | — |
| 8 | Fire Umbra Ciel | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.1% | 48.0% | 49.5% | 1265 | — |
| 9 | Fire Tera Diao Chan | 1 | 4.3% | 4 | 50.0% | 49.8% | 48.0% | 49.7% | 1328 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 4.3% | 3 | 50.0% | 49.4% | 47.5% | 49.6% | 1408 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 4.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.6% | 46.7% | 50.3% | 1029 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 4.3% | 3 | 33.3% | 49.6% | 45.0% | 49.7% | 1179 | ↓ low |
| 13 | Water Tristan | 1 | 4.3% | 2 | 25.0% | 49.7% | 43.3% | 49.7% | 1100 | ↓ low |
| 14 | Water Fractal | 1 | 4.3% | 3 | 16.7% | 48.7% | 42.5% | 49.4% | 1249 | — |
| 15 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 4.3% | 3 | 16.7% | 48.6% | 42.5% | 49.2% | 1388 | ↑ top |
| 16 | Water Slice & Dice | 1 | 4.3% | 2 | 25.0% | 49.2% | 41.7% | 49.2% | 1241 | — |
| 17 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 4.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 48.7% | 40.0% | 49.2% | 1190 | ↓ low |
| 18 | Fire Arcane | 1 | 4.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 48.2% | 40.0% | 48.9% | 1143 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Water Crux Assassin | 1 | 4.3% | 1 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 1170 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Wind Alice | 1 | 4.3% | 2 | 0.0% | 49.4% | 40.0% | 49.7% | 1115 | ↓ low |