← Gaming DNA - Phantom Monarchs Store Championship

EV ranking

How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Gaming DNA - Phantom Monarchs Store Championship. EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O), renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5. Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead -- same math, skill-controlled. Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — read them as rough estimates.

#Archetype Decks Share Matches Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1 Fire Luxem Assassin 1 10.0% 6 83.3% 64.0% 59.5% 56.2% 1395 ↑ top
2 Water Aetherwing 2 20.0% 9 55.6% 47.3% 55.0% 51.9% 1307
3 Fire Suited 1 10.0% 6 66.7% 62.0% 54.0% 54.7% 1474 ↑ top
4 Water Ravishing Mill 1 10.0% 5 40.0% 41.4% 53.3% 51.5% 1427 ↑ top
5 Water Allies 1 10.0% 4 50.0% 55.3% 50.0% 53.3% 1180 ↓ low
6 Water Astra Ranger 1 10.0% 4 25.0% 41.7% 45.0% 46.8% 1198 ↓ low
7 Fire Umbra Guardian 3 30.0% 6 16.7% 37.7% 39.3% 43.2% 1154 ↓ low