← Good Games Canberra City Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
Fire Umbra GuardianTier 1
at Good Games Canberra City Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
decks
1
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
2-2-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.4%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1211
· median 1211
· range 1211–1211
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1051
Q1 1152
Q3 1353
1456
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Ravishing Mill | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.4% | +2.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 10.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.0% | +11.3 |
| Water Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane Rai | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.1% | -17.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Umbra Guardian decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
