← Phantom Monarchs Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Phantom Monarchs Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Aetherwing | 1 | 10.0% | 8 | 81.2% | 58.0% | 57.3% | 52.9% | 1407 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Allies | 1 | 10.0% | 7 | 71.4% | 58.9% | 56.0% | 53.7% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 10.0% | 7 | 71.4% | 58.9% | 56.0% | 53.7% | 1378 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Wind Seiryuu | 1 | 10.0% | 8 | 68.8% | 52.5% | 54.4% | 50.7% | 1453 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Wind Umbra Ranger | 1 | 10.0% | 7 | 42.9% | 56.0% | 48.6% | 52.2% | 1250 | — |
| 6 | Wind Allies | 2 | 20.0% | 9 | 44.4% | 53.0% | 48.3% | 50.9% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 7 | Wind Wakeup Combo | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 40.0% | 52.6% | 48.0% | 50.9% | 1203 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Fire Exia | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 30.0% | 40.5% | 46.7% | 46.7% | 1301 | — |
| 9 | Fire Aetherwing | 1 | 10.0% | 4 | 25.0% | 44.3% | 44.0% | 46.5% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 10 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 20.0% | 26.3% | 44.0% | 40.3% | 1340 | ↑ top |
| 11 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 10.0% | 5 | 10.0% | 38.2% | 40.7% | 45.5% | 1065 | ↓ low |