← JadiFun PTM Season Store Championship
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at JadiFun PTM Season Store Championship.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Aetherwing | 2 | 9.5% | 13 | 76.9% | 68.3% | 58.9% | 58.4% | 1360 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 4.8% | 4 | 50.0% | 53.5% | 54.3% | 54.5% | 1224 | ↓ low |
| 3 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 70.0% | 51.5% | 53.8% | 50.7% | 1352 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Horse and Taxes | 1 | 4.8% | 6 | 66.7% | 67.6% | 53.8% | 57.5% | 1242 | ↓ low |
| 5 | Wind Astra Cleric | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 55.5% | 53.3% | 54.9% | 1187 | ↓ low |
| 6 | Fire Crux Lorraine | 1 | 4.8% | 4 | 50.0% | 45.0% | 52.5% | 50.6% | 1311 | — |
| 7 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 60.0% | 51.6% | 51.1% | 50.2% | 1399 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Wind Shadowstrike | 2 | 9.5% | 10 | 50.0% | 40.8% | 50.3% | 46.7% | 1387 | ↑ top |
| 9 | Fire Umbra Guardian | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 60.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.3% | 1364 | ↑ top |
| 10 | Water Tera Mage | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 50.0% | 60.8% | 50.0% | 54.6% | 1187 | ↓ low |
| 11 | Wind Seiryuu | 3 | 14.3% | 15 | 40.0% | 47.6% | 48.2% | 50.5% | 1238 | ↓ low |
| 12 | Water Genbu | 2 | 9.5% | 10 | 40.0% | 38.0% | 47.5% | 46.1% | 1269 | — |
| 13 | Fire Oblation | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 40.0% | 38.5% | 46.7% | 44.5% | 1350 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Fire Firebloom Burn | 2 | 9.5% | 9 | 27.8% | 40.4% | 44.2% | 46.1% | 1220 | ↓ low |
| 15 | Wind Chess | 1 | 4.8% | 5 | 20.0% | 41.1% | 43.3% | 46.0% | 1127 | ↓ low |