Wind Crux LorraineTier 2
at Store Championship Marzo
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.7% | +17.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.5 |
| Water Byakko | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.2 |
| Wind Chess | 11.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.9% | -16.1 |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.0 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Crux Lorraine decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 49 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 49 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesan Protector | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shred to Ribbons | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Weaponsmith | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Displace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Spirit Ruler | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sword of Shadows | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Wind Cutter | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ensoul | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cry for Help | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Inert Sword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit's Blessing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Clean Cut | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| The Looking Glass | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Votive Runeblade | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tactful Sergeant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Zephyr's Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rally the Peasants | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Banner Knight | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Carnwennan, Shrouded Edge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Adept Swordmaster | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expeditious Opening | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit Blade: Infusion | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ornamental Greatsword | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shu Frontliner | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Regenerate | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Phalanx Captain | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Bladed Riftseer | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prismatic Edge | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |