Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at 3/8ストアチャンピオンシップ
decks
3
(13.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
5-4-5
overall winrate
53.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
61.4%
avg ELO +4.7 per match
expected value
51.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
55.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1289
· median 1247
· range 1210–1410
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1095
Q1 1217
Q3 1459
1597
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Seiryuu | 18.2% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 56.9% | +4.4 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 3 | 0-1-2 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 50.5% | +0.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.1% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 61.6% | +11.1 |
| Fire Oblation | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.0% | +17.6 |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.4% | -7.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -9.0 |
| Wind Slice & Dice | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
