Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at PTM 店家冠軍賽
Pilot Skill ↓ low
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 11.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.5 |
| Water Fractal | 11.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 45.6% | -3.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.1 |
| Water Genbu | 7.7% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 37.1% | -8.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Oblation | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.5 |
| Water Neos | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.0% | -11.1 |
| Water Slimes | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Jin | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.6 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 38 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 38 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aesan Protector | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Mastermind Scheme | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Calming Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Heavenly Guide | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cry for Help | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lost Providence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Crystallized Destiny | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Abnegation | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Regal Inquisition | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Diablerie | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stolen Chance | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Surveil the Winds | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Dream Fairy | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Expose Darkness | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gloamspire Mantle | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grim Foreboding | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shadow Resonance | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |