← GAMERSSHOP PTM STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
Fire AetherwingTier 2
at GAMERSSHOP PTM STORE CHAMPIONSHIP
decks
3
(15.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
4-10-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.9%
avg ELO -1.7 per match
expected value
44.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1189
· median 1133
· range 1102–1331
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1102
Q1 1169
Q3 1422
1487
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
67% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Aetherwing | 21.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 51.4% | +1.1 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 15.8% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.8% | +3.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.7% | -5.2 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 5.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.0% | +2.8 |
| Horse and Taxes | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Water Byakko | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.6% | -10.2 |
| Wind Nico | 5.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.6% | +5.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.3% | -9.1 |
