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Water ByakkoTier 2

at GAMERSSHOP PTM STORE CHAMPIONSHIP

decks
1 (5.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4 1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
41.1% avg ELO -5.7 per match
expected value
45.5% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1267 · median 1267 · range 1267–1267 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1102 Q1 1169 Q3 1422 1487
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Aetherwing 21.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.0% -9.7
Fire Aetherwing 15.8% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 56.4% +10.2
Wind Seiryuu 15.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 45.6% -7.0
Fire Aggro 5.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.8% -16.3
Fire Crux Lorraine 5.3% 0
Fire Firebloom Burn 5.3% 0
Fire Slimes 5.3% 0
Horse and Taxes 5.3% 0
Water Crux Mage 5.3% 0
Wind Nico 5.3% 0
Wind Razorgale 5.3% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 5.3% 0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Water Byakko decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/48017/archetypes/Water Byakko