Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Chronos Store Championship
decks
1
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-2-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.8%
avg ELO -2.3 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1435
· median 1435
· range 1435–1435
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1134
Q1 1171
Q3 1436
1511
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 25.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -0.8 |
| Water Fractal | 25.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -0.8 |
| Fire Exia | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Assassin | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.1% | -9.5 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Wind Shadowstrike decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
